This is a very interesting view point of historical trends.

A very long read, but I found it worthy of reading and thought.

My opinion(s) : 1. Where can I find the work of this Spengler guy? 2. Anyone who got banned by the Nazis is probably worth reading. 3. I feel N. America is in decline. I also feel that the EASTERN societies are in decline, but at about 20 years behind the west in a bit of time/tech transfer and inter-cultural awareness lag. Demographically and economically it is undeniable.

On the positive side of things, we have shiny computers and automated systems and WAY easier access to data today than past cultures ever had. This has positive inclinations towards health and economic transfers, but quite likely very harmful effects on psycho-social cultural stability-points for the older cultures that are crushing themselves illogically in their zeal to self-protect (and driving away any possibility of future members of their societies from voluntarily happily agreeing with rather horrifying conclusions of their parents/grandparents POV. ). My own take is we get a new, most likely global, culture linked electronically that takes the better elements of the older cultures and either keeps them as museum props and tourist mecca highpoints as memories of a romantic past that was never reality. Hence, tourism is probably around to stay so long as there is a cheap-ish way to get from point A to point B and so long as the violence of the collapse of the old cultures doesn’t translate into damaging the positive site/locations/threaten the tourists lives beyond a small thrilling entertainment value adventure package (AKA Thailand’s management of its points of interest methods.) Internet culture is a possible contender for the new culture prize, but the political control of internet culture is where things may go horribly wrong and blowback will crush a lot of former traditional holy dogmatic points in the future.

In short, what we have today is inter-cultural exchanges happening on a greater scale; hopefully some common understandings and agreement points happening between members of each culture and some preservation of older rituals (more done as a fop to silence older people and to help them feel relevant) in cultural ‘protected areas’ such as Kyoto/Tainan/Washington D.C./Vancouver/ Ottawa/ Los Angeles/ Hawaii, all highly central locations of various dying cultures whose best times are quite likely, now in the past. You can argue about the strong relevance of these places but one thing you will find: there is little youth or just marginalized youth in all of these areas (with perhaps the exception of Washington DC where the parasites are still feasting and many of them happen to be young.)

I strongly suspect that the future social/cultural hubs will only be online and decentralized after a strong ‘jack up the prices’ type policy of ‘wow, we have something that people want at the moment’ encourages sellout profiteering and a subsequent loss of the value people found in that location… but certain long-term locations or cultural practices may end up being kept as patterns of behavior by adherents to the new cultures who have personally rejected/been expelled from their former cultures. It is impossible to predict how it all will play out, but I am optimistic that some of the better elements of the various cultures I am looking at will come forward in positive ways, while the more negative darker elements of the old dogmatic ways will be discarded and only displayed as museum wax artworks… but most likely newer variations of old problems will show up again. Profit is always the prime motive. As long as money exists, probably certain problems will continue. Societies cannot function without some kind of generic point-keeping systems and rules, so the future of accounting is bright if nothing else is- although that is a profession that needs simplification and a good tear-down in its structure as it currently stands. (Or at least enforcement of certain rules and agreement on a simplified set of more neutral rules.)